Trend Trading Market Wizard

Over the weekend, I was re-reading the book “The New Market Wizards”, you can download it here.

One of the successful traders, Randy McKay, says this:

“The beginning of a price move is usually hard to trade because you’re not sure whether you’re right about the direction of the trend. The end is hard because people start taking profits and the market gets very choppy. The middle of the move is what I call the easy part.”

This in essence, is trend following – catching the easy part. Trading systems such as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo allow you to do this. Randy adds:

“I never try to buy a bottom or sell a top. Even if you manage to pick the bottom, the market can end up sitting there for years and tying up your capital. You don’t want to have a position before a move has started. You want to wait until the move is already under way before you get into the market.”

The problem of “sitting there for years” is common to fundamental value investors, who pick up stocks which are beaten down by the market. They can end up waiting for years before the market finally realizes the stock is undervalued. Most retail investors do not have such capital and holding power like Warren Buffet does.

Trading Systems such as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo work for Forex and Stocks, and across all timeframes. It allows you to catch the easy part of the move.

How Important Is Money Management In Trading?

Profit From Both Bull and Bear Stock Markets Today!

Some people are fond of saying, “Even a poor system could make money with good money management.” This contention is complete nonsense. All that good  money management will do for a poor strategy is to assure that you will lose money more slowly. For example, no money management system can ever be designed to make money playing roulette, because the edge is against you. (The odds would be exactly even, but the zero and double zero give the house a decisive advantage.) In fact, if you are playing a poor strategy (one where the edge is against you), your best chance for coming out ahead is to apply the extreme of bad money management-risk everything on one trade.

Because the longer you play with a negative edge, the greater the probability of eventual financial ruin. Probably the most basic requirement for successful trading is that you must have some well-defined method, or, in other words, a specific approach that gives you an edge.  That approach could be buying undervalued securities and selling overvalued securities, or it could be some better-than-breakeven way of selecting price directional trades. Without such a method, or edge, you will eventually lose, because the odds are 50/50 before transaction costs. If you don’t know what your method is, you don’t have one. (By the way, buying a stock because your brother-in-law gives you a tip is not a method.)

Participants in the market may well be gambling. If you don’t have a method (i.e., an edge), then trading is every bit as much a gamble as betting in the casinos. But with a method, trading-or for that matter, even blackjack-becomes a business rather than gambling. Fortunately for traders, whereas the casinos can bar players because they become too proficient, the market has no way of eliminating the skillful traders.  Therefore,  if  you  can  devise  a  method  to  beat  the  market,  no  exchange  can  come  to  you and say, “We’ve noticed that you’re making too much money. You can’t trade here any more.”

Once you have a method, you still need money management to prevent an adverse streak from taking you out of the game. It is critical to keep in mind that even if you have the edge, you can still lose all your money. Therefore, the bet or trade size must be small enough to keep the probability of such an event very low. So the appropriate quote is, “Even a good system can lose money with poor money management,” rather than the fallacious contortion of this theme quoted at the start of this article.

Adapted from: The New Market Wizards: Conversations with America’s Top Traders –  Jack D. Schwager (2008).

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How To Start Trading Forex?

As the global economy is going through a tough phase, most people in various countries are trying their best to look for some passive source of income so that they have enough money with which they can pay back their financial obligations. Forex market investment is the best way to make money and if you’re living in Singapore, you can take advantage of the booming forex market. Forex market is the currency exchange market and this is just like a big auction house where traders come to sell and purchase different currency pairs to make money. Read on to know about some common practices by the forex traders in Singapore.

  • Acquire knowledge: The Singapore forex market is a huge one and if you take a wrong decision while choosing the currencies, you might fall in trouble. Therefore, it is necessary to acquire enough knowledge about the market so that you may be able to take the best step forward while picking the currencies.
  • Open a forex account: Whenever you think of trading with the Singapore forex market, you have to make sure that you open an account and trade under a forex coach. A forex broker is the one who can help you take the best decisions while trading so that you can make maximum gains and minimum risks. Take his help until you become proficient in some basic things about the forex market.
  • Open a live account: It is a fact that the lessons that a live market and real money can provide is something that cannot be provided by even the best forex broker. Live trading as dummy trading is allowed within this market so that you may gain enough first-hand knowledge on this particular market and thereby take the best decisions.
  • Adopt certain skills: You must be aware that the forex market is a highly volatile market where currency prices can rise or fall any time. If you’re trading with the forex market in Singapore, you need to have flexible mind, sound money management skills and some time-tested habits to entry and exit the market.

Irrespective of the place where you’re investing money, you must make sure that you have adopted all the required skills. Follow the tips mentioned above and choose the best currency pairs to ensure maximum gains.

Forex Trading Singapore: Strategic Bear Positioning On Euro

Euro has typically been a trending currency and attracts attention on a global front especially when investors worry over European sovereign debt problems.

On the technical the Eurusd 40 day simple moving average crossed below the 200 day moving average suggesting further down trend going ahead.

See comments on the chart below to see how the pair looks on Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.

Traders might want to consider positioning themselves strategically on shorts.

Is it that easy to peg the Swiss Franc?

Citigroup advised clients to add bets that the franc will appreciate and the euro will weaken, saying a flare-up of Europe’s debt crisis may test Switzerland’s plan to create a price-ceiling for its currency.

The company’s analysts added a “small overweight” franc recommendation to their so-called overlay portfolio, a team led by Steven Englander, head of Group of 10 currency strategy in New York, wrote in an investor report yesterday.

“Over time, we see concerns about euro-zone sovereign debt rising, and renewed efforts by euro-zone residents to obtain the safety of the franc,” the strategists wrote. “The impact effect of the Swiss National Bank’s euro-franc floor has been powerful, and we may be early to the euro-franc short, but we expect that the cost will increase over time. If it was that easy to peg your currency, many others would do it.”

We take a look at the technicals of the EurChf pair.

EURCHF Ichimoku Monthly 090911

On the monthly Ichimoku chart, the overall picture is bearish on EURCHF, which has been the case since mid 2009. The pair could see a retracement back to the Kijun Sen at 1.2720 in the few months ahead.

We have yet to see any signs of trend changes in the long term (monthly charts) and maintain that the long bear trend is still in play.

Forex Trading In Singapore

Best Forex Seminar in Singapore

Forex Trading with Clouds – Fast and Effective

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, an award winning Japanese technical indicator which has been used to trade currencies successfully, is the core trading system behind Money From The Sky Forex Course.

Ichimoku Trading System is a powerful trading system as it combines elements of time, sentiment, volatility, support and resistance.  We will share the basics of the trading system here

Five Lines in One System

At first glance, the indicator looks messy like a child’s painting. With a little patience and practice, this “mess” ironically makes chart reading a breeze. Here’s a snapshot:

As you can see above, Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is composed of five separate lines which fit perfectly together to give you a picture of the asset’s price action. We view trading as both art and science; while there are rules to abide by, the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo picture creates an art piece around prices.

The Cloud

The most distinctive feature of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is the orange and blue cloud you see stretching across (and ahead of) price. Yes this is one of the rare indicators which forecasts price action ahead, contrary to what most believe technical analysis to be backward looking. Also known as the Kumo, the cloud is created by the two lines “Senkou Span A” and “Senkou span B”. It is primarily an ever-changing support and resistance zone, serving as resistance above price and a resistance below price.  At one glance, you can see whether price is currently bullish (above the cloud), bearish (below the cloud) or consolidating (inside the cloud)

Figure 2. Price position relative to Kumo

Trading Strategy: Kumo Break

Traders commonly look to enter long positions when price breaks resistance levels and conversely, short positions when price breaks support. A similar methodology can be applied by going long when prices break above the cloud, and going short when prices break below the cloud.

Money From The Sky Forex Trading Seminar covers the advanced proprietary strategies used in trading the forex markets.

Step 1: We Screen Trades For You

Step 2: Easily Spot Profitable Patterns

Step 3: Take Profit

 

What You Will Learn

  • Learn how to execute trades on any FX trading platform and understand how the FX markets work
  • Save time by using our proprietary Lightning Ichimoku Trading Signals
  • Receive email alerts when your favourite trade setups occur
  • Use charts to recognize trend following setups and perfect entry signals in just a few seconds
  • Learn to stay out of ranging markets and ride trends effortlessly
  • Learn to understand volatility of the currency, strength of support/resistance zones
  • Look into the future and anticipate price action ahead of time
  • Maximize your return on investment with professional money management strategies

Money From The Sky – Singapore Forex Trading Course

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“Truly the most complete forex course in Singapore. They even provide me the MT4 Expert Advisor that tells me when to buy/sell. I have been searching high and low for this!”

- Alaister Boon, Singapore, Full-time Trader

Step 1: We Screen Trades For You

  • No need to stare at screens all day – Lightning Ichimoku Trading Signals alert you when to buy/sell
  • Don’t miss a single trade – Receive email alerts and execute trades on the go
  • Get on with your daily routine – System can even execute trades automatically for you
  • Easy to use – Installs in seconds

Step 2: Easily Spot Profitable Patterns

  • Use Charts to confirm trend following setups in just a few seconds, for the perfect entry
  • Stay out of ranging markets and ride trends effortlessly.
  • Understand volatility of the currency, and strength of support/resistance zones.
  • Look into the future and anticipate price action ahead of time

Profit in Up Trends

Profit in Down Trends

Step 3: Take Profit

  • Learn when to buy, hold or sell for Maximum Return on Investment.
  • Learn how to manage your position size (investment amount) based on high probability entries.
  • Dramatically stack odds in your favour
Email learning@apftrading.com for details.

Proudly brought to you together with our Partners:

What You will Learn

  • Learn how to execute trades on any FX trading platform and understand how the FX markets work
  • Save time by using our proprietary Lightning Ichimoku Trading Signals
  • Receive email alerts when your favourite trade setups occur
  • Use charts to recognize trend following setups and perfect entry signals in just a few seconds
  • Learn to stay out of ranging markets and ride trends effortlessly.
  • Learn to understand volatility of the currency, strength of support/resistance zones.
  • Look into the future and anticipate price action ahead of time.
  • Maximize your return on investment with professional money management strategies

This course will be taught by professional traders from AsiaPacFinance.com

*Follow-up sessions are 1 -1 so we can answer All your questions. This is delivered over a live online webinar.*  

Investment Education is not a one-size-fits-all mass market product.

Investors differ in the following aspects:
  • Psychology and Beliefs
  • Investment Goals
  • Financial knowledge and Investment Experience
  • Investment horizons and Asset Class Preferences
  • Trading Capital and Holding Power
Students feedback to us they learn most when they have all their questions answered, from the undivided attention of the speaker. Learning should be at a suitable pace, and trading plans are designed taking background and trading capital into account. Last but not least, there MUST be follow-ups and ongoing support.

We are the only Singapore Forex Course provider in the region who delivers such excellent courses, by limiting class size to small groups of 1-3 persons.

Is there a better way to learn?

More Details

Payment Terms

    • We accept Cash/ Cheque/ Credit Card/ Paypal.
    • Payment is 100% upfront before first class.
    • Registration without payment is not accepted.
    • There is an admin fee of S$40/- for refunds.
    • If you are sending cheques by post, please make sure that the cheque reaches our office 5 days before course.
    • We are not responsible or liable for late payments due to post office delays.
    • Attendance is confirmed only after we have received your payment.

Questions? You can reach us through the following channels:

APF Trading Pte Ltd

Address: 9 Battery Road, 12F Straits Trading Building Singapore 049910

Email: learning@apftrading.com


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